I am kind of assuming that we are looking for a PG or a Wing in this draft. So for this draft there are three real possibilities of where we end up drafting in the first round, and one quite unlikely possibility:
1) We make the playoffs - this means that if we have the worst record among playoff teams, we would pick 15th. Odds are good even if we make it as the 6th seed, we would still have a worse record than the Western Conference #8 seed, so in the "make the playoffs" scenario we end up picking between 15th - 17th. Options there may include Nickeil Alexander-Walker, KZ Okpala, Kevin Porter, Coby White, Tre Jones, Ayo Dosunmu.
2) We just miss the playoffs - this means if we don't get lucky in the lottery, we end up picking in the 10th-14th range. Options there may include De'Andre Hunter, Keldon Johnson, and maybe Darius Garland or Jarrett Culver. Also, any of the players listed above as non-lottery.
3) We miss the playoffs, get lucky in the lottery and end up picking in the 2nd-4th range. Our options then will include at least one of RJ Barrett, Ja Morant, Cameron Reddish, and should also include Romeo Langford, Nassir Little, and any players I mentioned above.
4) Unlikely possibility - we miss the playoffs, win the lottery and end up picking Zion Williamson #1.
Now, my picks for each scenario depend on some other assumptions, and things we might see. Assumption #1 - we manage to re-sign TRoss to a new contract, and Assumption #2 - we see signs of Fultz becoming 70% or more of what people thought coming out of college. My second pick in each scenario is a Fultz recovery of less than 70%. My third is a Fultz bust (I don't think it likely, but prepare for anything) or BPA. The higher I am picking, the more likely I am to pick BPA regardless of need.
1) Nickeil Alexander-White, Coby White, Tre Jones
2) Jarrett Culver, Darius Garland, Keldon Johnson (if Culver/Garland both gone BPA)
3) Ja Morant, RJ Barrett, Cam Reddish (BPA)
4) Zion Williamson (might trade for assets + top 4 pick this year)