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Odin

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Everything posted by Odin

  1. Odin

    2018-19 Official Season Discussion Thread

    This is all just the odds breakdown from fivethirtyeight which factors in the chance to win every game in the future based on their formula (Carmelo ratings). If you change to their pure elo forcast, they actually improve our odds to finishing 40-42 and grabbing the 6th seed with that at a 73% chance to make the playoffs (yeah, they don't think the bottom of the east is going to look pretty). We have a soft schedule to finish out the year, and I think the crap teams are really going to start fielding even weaker lineups to get better draft odds. I think we can finish up there as well, but it is more likely that we finish around 40-41 wins and the 7th-8th seed.
  2. Odin

    2018-19 Official Season Discussion Thread

    Definitely, though if we can go on a run that gets us 6th, that would be best. I am really not that scared of Boston or Philly. (They should beat us in the end, but we have played both teams tight with us beating Boston twice so far with one more to go and Philly once with two more to go. We have a puncher's chance against both). It is amazing how quickly fortunes change though, as just 2 weeks ago they had us at 33 wins and only a 19% chance of making the playoffs. And that was with them factoring in our soft schedule to close out the season.
  3. Odin

    2018-19 Official Season Discussion Thread

    Fivethirtyeight.com has updated our probability of making the playoffs to 60%. They project that we finish with a record of 38-44. This is a 6 win increase from the beginning of the year, where they projected 32 wins and only a 19% chance of making the playoffs.
  4. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Trade Thread! Trade Thread! Get your trade talk and rumors here! Have a rumor printed in the media? Post it here! An unsubstantiated tweet? We will take it! A gut feeling? Let it all out! Want to play with the trade machine? Go for it! Everything you want and more! All in the Trade Thread!
  5. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Kanter is an absolutely terrible defensive player. Kanter is a good rebounder and is effective around the basket, but is a total minus on the defensive end. Vuch is at least ok at defense usually.
  6. Odin

    Trade Thread

    I think Toronto should see if they can get Davis. They would still have a strong and decently deep team. Siakam, VanVleet, Valanciunas plus two picks works. It is better (in my opinion) than Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart, Kyle Kuzma, Brandon Ingram, Ivica Zubac, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and two first-round picks. Who says no?
  7. Odin

    Magic vs nets

    Wes is going to have a good career. Don’t know if he will ever be more than a bench guy, (probably is not) but he has shown he can hang.
  8. Odin

    Magic vs nets

    What’s the story with Bamba?
  9. Odin

    Trade Thread

    So, super small sample size, but the BIG line up has been pretty terrible when they have played together. But 23 minutes with a bunch of young guys isn't really what I would call a good sample size.
  10. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Tony Allen with worse offense.
  11. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Also, worst time to be picking NY or Chicago. It is freezing up here.
  12. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Become homeless. Keep your job. Use all of your money to buy lotto tickets. If you are lucky, you will win enough to be able to not work anymore.
  13. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Become a professional ball player for a year, make it into the biggest league of that sport for that year, earn a minimum contract, and you could be set if you are smart with your money.
  14. Odin

    2018-19 Official Season Discussion Thread

    I don't think you are ever going to see Bamba with a body like Embiid, if that is what you are looking for. But there is really no reason for him not to add some more muscle. I think KG is an example of a body type that you can expect.
  15. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Jrue seems like a pretty class act too.
  16. Odin

    2019 NBA Draft Thread

    No, was more of a "what would his numbers look like if he wasn't playing next to Barrett who shoots half again as many shots as he does, yet only averaged 2 more points a game"? Perhaps I should have gone with that.
  17. Odin

    2019 NBA Draft Thread

    I mean sure. I was thinking more on the same level of competition though. That's like saying "I wonder what types of numbers Curry would put up on a less stacked team", and someone responding "Yeah, he would destroy the G-League/Euroleague".
  18. Odin

    2019 NBA Draft Thread

    Ha. Fine. Be that way.
  19. Odin

    2019 NBA Draft Thread

    Makes me wonder what types of numbers Zion would be putting up on a less stacked team. Maybe it wouldn't be that much more, but surely his production, at least in pure counting numbers, is down as there are other "top talents" on the team with him. He is only taking ~13 shots a game and is still putting up over 20 a game.
  20. Odin

    2018-19 Official Season Discussion Thread

    Just FYI- it should be "piqued my interest" not "peeked my interest". And these companies ask for money because they are companies and want to be paid for their work. I think synergy specifically markets itself as for teams and journalists anyway. I don't think people like us are their target audience. Other people who publish their numbers on-line either are doing it to try to prove their statistical models and ideas, angling for a job, or getting paid in some other way.
  21. Odin

    Trade Thread

    That's all well and good, but they still only have a 14% chance at the #1 pick.
  22. Odin

    2018-19 Official Season Discussion Thread

    Man, was just looking at the schedule for today. The game is going to be over before I even leave work. Stupid early games on holidays that lots of people don't have.
  23. Odin

    Trade Thread

    Shouldn't it be important to note that the numbers seem to be a function of the role he is being asked to fill? Last year he had an assist % of 29.5% and a turnover rate of 14.9% This year: 22% and 20.7% Rozier, on the other hand, has never had an assist rate of over 17.5%. Sure, he has a lower turnover rate, but he isn't really functioning in the way of a PG. Those are more ball handling SG numbers. Fournier, for example, has a higher assist rate this season than Rozier ever has had. Obviously, the increased turn overs are somewhat worrisome, but they are not the end of the world.
  24. Odin

    2018-19 Official Season Discussion Thread

    Also: These are just total counting numbers. You play less minutes or get injured for a few games, and suddenly you drop off this list.
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