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Odin

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Posts posted by Odin


  1. 3 minutes ago, ?4thewin said:

    Nah. A lot of that is probably just opponents missing shots. 

    He's really active and he contests a lot. It's difficult for bench players to score on him. 

    But I think he's just a really solid active wing defender vs a shut down guy who can be a weapon against great scorers. More Bazemore than iguodala. At least right now. 

    That is probably fair. I'd like to see some on-off stats for him defensively too- I think that usually helps paint the picture of how much a player improves a defense. But 82games, which I usually used in the past, has not updated for 2019.


  2. Just now, ?4thewin said:

    Oh, also we're tied for 4th in opponent free throw rate since 1/1/19

    These are all hallmarks of a Clifford team right? Don't allow turn overs, don't allow offensive boards, don't foul.

    Also, I was just looking at the stats for Iwundu. Of players who have defended at least 100 shots, he has the second best defensive field goal allowed percentage. Are we underestimating how good he has been on defense so far this year? 


  3. 6 minutes ago, Murphy13 said:

    I personally don't think 38 wins gets us into the playoffs, I think there'll be one sub .500 team and they'll probably have 40 wins.  That said I think the 6 seed is a legitimate possibility seeing as we are only 3 games back of it.  I think Brooklyn will stay just above 500 (42-40) and either Charlotte or Detroit will end strong at around 40 wins.  Call me a homer but looking at our schedule I think we can finish 16-7 and end up 43-39 for the 6 seed.

     In this scenario obviously it would be great if Indiana could hold onto #3 but with Oladipo gone that isn't going to happen.  It would be against Philly or Boston and both of those would be tough but I think we'd get a game or two and consider it a win going into next season.  I think Toronto and Milwaukee would clean our clocks assuming everyone is healthy.  

    This is all just the odds breakdown from fivethirtyeight which factors in the chance to win every game in the future based on their formula (Carmelo ratings). If you change to their pure elo forcast, they actually improve our odds to finishing 40-42 and grabbing the 6th seed with that at a 73% chance to make the playoffs (yeah, they don't think the bottom of the east is going to look pretty).

    We have a soft schedule to finish out the year, and I think the crap teams are really going to start fielding even weaker lineups to get better draft odds. I think we can finish up there as well, but it is more likely that we finish around 40-41 wins and the 7th-8th seed.


  4. 8 minutes ago, ?4thewin said:

     Basketball reference has us at 38.5 wins, the 7 seed, and a 57.5% chance to make the playoffs. 

     Think we need to really shoot for that 7 seed. There's not a series that we have a good chance to win but I think Milwaukee is the worst matchup for us. We handle Toronto really well because we're built to handle siakam, it doesn't really bother us to have Kawhi take Gordon out of the game, and I'm not as worried about Augustin and fournier defending Lowry and Green. 

     Philly or Boston are definitely winnable. Philly with Simmons is easier to defend and they don't have the depth to kill us. Boston should just out talent us but we won the season series against them so maybe there's just something there. 

     Milwaukee is the only series that I think is a definite 4 or 5 game series. The rest I think we can push to 6 or 7 if we play our best and maybe if the other team looks ahead we can steal one. 

    Definitely, though if we can go on a run that gets us 6th, that would be best. I am really not that scared of Boston or Philly. (They should beat us in the end, but we have played both teams tight with us beating Boston twice so far with one more to go and Philly once with two more to go. We have a puncher's chance against both).

    It is amazing how quickly fortunes change though, as just 2 weeks ago they had us at 33 wins and only a 19% chance of making the playoffs. And that was with them factoring in our soft schedule to close out the season.


  5. 20 minutes ago, TrueBlueDrew said:

     I disagree with that assessment. Kanter is a better defensive player and better rebounder than Vuc. Vuc is just much more developed offensively. 

     But I think the point is moot anyway because he will more than likely reunite with OKC if I had to guess. 

    Kanter is an absolutely terrible defensive player. Kanter is a good rebounder and is effective around the basket, but is a total minus on the defensive end. Vuch is at least ok at defense usually.


  6. I think Toronto should see if they can get Davis. They would still have a strong and decently deep team.

    Siakam, VanVleet, Valanciunas plus two picks works.

    It is better (in my opinion) than Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart, Kyle Kuzma, Brandon Ingram, Ivica Zubac, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and two first-round picks.

    Who says no?


  7. 36 minutes ago, ?4thewin said:

    Only assuming it doesn't preclude us from making another move for a point guard. 

    Ntilikina is an elite defender. If he's available for relatively nothing you get him because that's value added. But I'm not banking on him being a point guard of the future (or even a point guard). 

    Tony Allen with worse offense.


  8. Just now, ?4thewin said:

    It's kind of just a bad look. It's favoring lifestyle over career situation. 

    I get that philosophy when you're in year 7. I don't really understand it when you're not an established guy. 

    Like throw Indiana in there too so it's not blatantly obvious what you're looking for

    Also, worst time to be picking NY or Chicago. It is freezing up here.


  9. Just now, HeHateMe said:

    How can I retire by 30? I’m  29 now. 

    Become a professional ball player for a year, make it into the biggest league of that sport for that year, earn a minimum contract, and you could be set if you are smart with your money.

    • Like 1

  10. 11 hours ago, TheNameIsOrlando said:

    I'll be interested to see how his body develops over the summer. His game is the least of my worries. 

    I don't think you are ever going to see Bamba with a body like Embiid, if that is what you are looking for. But there is really no reason for him not to add some more muscle. I think KG is an example of a body type that you can expect.

    • Upvote 1

  11. 4 minutes ago, magicdoc1 said:

    Are you serious?? you are telling me that Jrue doesnt do it for you. 

    We need to start winning  games and jrue is a star talented PG at 29 that can help us achive that.  I mean. Westbrook is 30, Harden is 29, Butler is 29. Are you telling me you will not take any of this guys because their ages?

    Jrue seems like a pretty class act too.


  12. 49 minutes ago, ?4thewin said:

    Oh. I thought you were making a direct Morant-Zion situation comp

    No, was more of a "what would his numbers look like if he wasn't playing next to Barrett who shoots half again as many shots as he does, yet only averaged 2 more points a game"? Perhaps I should have gone with that.


  13. 1 hour ago, ?4thewin said:

    ?

    I'm just saying he's shooting 75% in acc play. He's got a 41 PER. if he played on a mid major he might score all the points

    I mean sure. I was thinking more on the same level of competition though.

    That's like saying "I wonder what types of numbers Curry would put up on a less stacked team", and someone responding "Yeah, he would destroy the G-League/Euroleague".


  14. 5 minutes ago, ?4thewin said:

    Zion is a generational player.

    Morant gets his numbers by being given full range to do whatever he wants. If he played on a Duke or Kentucky he'd be playing with other elite players and that would kill his numbers. He'd look a lot more normal. He's a good passer, not great. He's not a good shooter. He can't defend and scouts are worried about his ability to put on muscle. He's really good at getting to the rim. 

    I like him. If we jumped to 3 I'd take him. I like him better than Trae. But there's nothing to suggest he's in the same realm as Zion. 

    Makes me wonder what types of numbers Zion would be putting up on a less stacked team. Maybe it wouldn't be that much more, but surely his production, at least in pure counting numbers, is down as there are other "top talents" on the team with him. He is only taking ~13 shots a game and is still putting up over 20 a game.

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