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ABANets

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  1. Well, when the over/under win total comes out or maybe odds on the Magic to make the playoffs those might be my main bets depending on the numbers. But there is almost zero chance the conference payout will get higher than 250 before the season, and an excellent chance it will go much lower. And yes, there is still that chance the roster could improve. But no one is over 30. Jrue is 33; Brook is 35; Middleton turning 32; Crowder 33; Ingles, Matthews... Horford 37; Harden will be 34, PJ Tucker 37 (started for Philly). Butler turning 34; Lowry 37.
  2. No Suggs is the primary reason. Banchero was Rookie of the Year. His talent is "priced in". Yes, the fact that Suggs only started 19 games last year is why it's a great bet. He is the dark horse...
  3. You can cash out or hedge with enough movement. Miami was behind in the 4th Q of the 2nd play-in against the Bulls. On 4/24 they were up 2 games to 1 on the Bucks, getting 60-1 to win the East. Parity is a real thing, and it isn't going away. I also have smaller bets (proportionally) on Indiana and Charlotte at 250-1, Atlanta at 42-1, my Nets at 65-1, Bulls at 60-1 and a pile on Cleveland at 9-1. But the Orlando bet is tops in my book.
  4. No, I think those odds are superb. Bucks and Heat are too old. Philly is a mess. Cleveland and Boston are contenders but not dominant. Everyone else is close to par except Detroit. Magic played the Heat close and beat the Celtics. But they are improving.
  5. With Fultz it's the trend. (His .534 is is #83/123, but that's below 38 C's and PF's, so among SG, SF, and PG's, he was 45/85) With Suggs it's how hard he plays. With Bol it's his potential. With the bet it's the odds. Better hurry, it won't last. Only FD has it, the other sites are already mostly 100 to 1 or less. No, I don't think Orlando will win the East. I'd put them at about 35 to 1. Up to you how you want to monetize it. There are ways.
  6. Someone please explain to me why this isn't printing money. I don't follow the Magic much, but I love Bol Bol. Banchero is 6'10". Fultz hit .534 efg% this year, with nice assist/turnover. Franz looks like a player. Isaac could still make it. Carter Jr. is quite good. Anthony shot better, might still mature. But mainly...250 to 1 on Jalen Suggs. That guy plays so hard. Now add the 6 pick or what you might get for it. Just don't start the year 5 and 20 and there is no ceiling.
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