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Fultz4thewin

2019-2020 Official Regular Season Thread

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19 hours ago, Jay Magic said:

KAT hasn't won a game since 27th November surely he becomes disgruntled soon

    He just signed his contract. He is also a big part of the losing.I'm not a stats guy but supposedly he is really bad on defense. 

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6 minutes ago, Just a regular Magic fan said:

Is it the tweaks Clifford did with our offense and Vooch being further away from the basket the reason why? It seems he is uncomfortable and is even having trouble with the bread and butter shots he had before. 

Yeah his 2P% is also 2nd worst for Cs, again just barely ahead of Portis.  Couple this with his atrocious defense and, well, here we are.

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9 minutes ago, Just a regular Magic fan said:

Is it the tweaks Clifford did with our offense and Vooch being further away from the basket the reason why? It seems he is uncomfortable and is even having trouble with the bread and butter shots he had before. 

This year he's shooting 34% on open and wide open two point jumpers and 35% on open and wide open three point jumpers.

Last year he shot 46% and 36% respectively. That's the difference. 

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3 minutes ago, Fultz4thewin said:

This year he's shooting 34% on open and wide open two point jumpers and 35% on open and wide open three point jumpers.

Last year he shot 46% and 36% respectively. That's the difference. 

Vuc clearly has just not been as focused this season, and we all know exactly why. Cliff called him out in training camp and he's been inconsistent all season. This was predictable, we saw it the last time Vuc was in a contract year, got paid, and then coasted

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14 minutes ago, ML6 said:

Yeah his 2P% is also 2nd worst for Cs, again just barely ahead of Portis.  Couple this with his atrocious defense and, well, here we are.

fwiw...his drtg is better than everyone else on the team with similar minutes except Isaac

Quote

Per 100 Pos

Rk   Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS   ORtg DRtg
1 Mo Bamba 21 44 0 674 7.1 15.5 .455 1.9 5.7 .329 5.2 9.7 .530 1.5 2.2 .667 4.9 11.5 16.4 2.1 1.2 4.4 2.5 6.0 17.5   106 101
2 Jonathan Isaac 22 32 32 949 7.7 16.6 .463 1.5 4.7 .330 6.1 11.9 .515 2.9 3.8 .767 2.9 8.5 11.5 2.3 2.6 4.0 2.4 4.1 19.8   105 101
3 Josh Magette 30 8 0 38 6.4 19.3 .333 1.3 5.2 .250 5.2 14.2 .364 1.3 2.6 .500 1.3 6.4 7.7 6.4 3.9 1.3 6.4 5.2 15.5   71 102
4 Melvin Frazier 23 13 0 47 6.3 17.7 .353 4.2 7.3 .571 2.1 10.4 .200 2.1 4.2 .500 1.0 3.1 4.2 1.0 4.2 2.1 2.1 8.3 18.8   91 102
5 Nikola Vučević 29 37 37 1169 11.4 25.8 .442 2.6 7.4 .356 8.8 18.4 .477 3.5 4.3 .814 4.2 12.9 17.1 5.4 1.5 1.3 2.1 3.6 28.9   111 104
6 Al-Farouq Aminu 29 18 2 380 3.2 11.1 .291 1.2 4.6 .250 2.1 6.4 .320 2.5 3.7 .655 3.1 8.1 11.2 2.7 2.3 1.0 2.2 3.5 10.1   88 105
7 Michael Carter-Williams 28 25 0 417 6.8 16.6 .411 1.1 4.3 .243 5.8 12.2 .471 3.9 5.2 .750 2.7 6.3 9.0 6.5 2.8 1.2 2.7 4.8 18.6   104 105
8 B.J. Johnson 24 6 0 41 6.0 19.1 .313 1.2 7.2 .167 4.8 12.0 .400 2.4 2.4 1.000 1.2 6.0 7.2 2.4 2.4 0.0 3.6 0.0 15.5   75 108
9 Amile Jefferson 26 17 0 74 3.3 8.6 .385 0.0 0.0   3.3 8.6 .385 3.3 9.3 .357 6.0 8.6 14.6 2.6 0.7 2.0 2.0 4.6 9.9   95 108
10 Khem Birch 27 34 22 723 3.5 7.3 .486 0.0 0.1 .000 3.5 7.2 .491 2.6 4.4 .600 4.5 6.8 11.3 2.3 1.1 1.4 1.5 4.4 9.7   115 108
11 Terrence Ross 28 46 0 1198 8.6 21.8 .395 4.2 12.8 .326 4.4 9.0 .493 3.8 4.5 .838 0.4 5.2 5.6 1.9 2.0 0.6 1.8 2.9 25.2   103 108
12 Markelle Fultz 21 47 42 1298 8.6 18.8 .459 0.8 3.1 .256 7.8 15.7 .499 2.8 3.8 .723 0.9 5.4 6.3 8.2 2.3 0.3 3.5 3.4 20.8   101 108
13 Aaron Gordon 24 42 42 1331 7.8 18.7 .418 1.7 5.9 .286 6.1 12.7 .480 3.2 4.8 .664 2.6 8.5 11.1 4.5 1.1 0.8 2.4 3.1 20.5   102 108
14 Wesley Iwundu 25 34 10 620 4.4 11.8 .376 1.3 4.0 .320 3.2 7.8 .404 3.6 4.4 .821 1.6 5.5 7.1 2.8 1.7 0.8 1.3 4.0 13.8   107 109
15 Evan Fournier 27 47 47 1477 10.4 22.4 .464 4.0 10.1 .396 6.4 12.4 .520 4.4 5.4 .817 0.3 3.8 4.1 5.2 1.6 0.3 3.1 3.9 29.3   111 110
16 Gary Clark 25 5 0 69 5.7 11.4 .500 2.8 7.8 .364 2.8 3.6 .800 0.0 0.0   5.7 7.1 12.8 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.4 1.4 14.2   122 111
17 D.J. Augustin 32 39 6 1013 6.2 15.8 .393 2.3 6.6 .346 3.9 9.2 .426 5.5 6.3 .877 0.7 3.9 4.6 8.9 1.3 0.0 2.6 2.1 20.2   114 111
18 Vic Law 24 2 0 4 0.0 12.3 .000 0.0 12.3 .000 0.0 0.0   0.0 24.5 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0   0 117

 

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3 minutes ago, The Neighborhood Bully said:

fwiw...his drtg is better than everyone else on the team with similar minutes except Isaac

 

Basketball reference defensive rating is not real defensive rating. It takes how the team does on defense when he's on the court and adds in defensive box score stats for adjustments. So in NBA.com defensive rating if all of the starters played the exact same minutes at the exact same time everyone would have the exact same defensive rating. But in basketball reference they try to assign credit or blame for what happens on the court related to who gets blocks, steals, and defensive rebounds. 

 

So because Vucevic gets a ton of defensive rebounds he's always going to be looked at favorably in basketball reference defensive metrics. 

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3 hours ago, Mauro Pedrosa said:

Sabonis

Edit: Because Sabonis can actually work with a guy like Myles Turner. You can call either of them a 4. I don't think Vuc can do that

Fair enough. Good point. I just feel Vooch at his best ... Is better than Sabonis at his best. Especially offensively.

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5 minutes ago, Jay Magic said:

Fair enough. Good point. I just feel Vooch at his best ... Is better than Sabonis at his best. Especially offensively.

I strongly disagree with this.

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1 minute ago, ML6 said:

I strongly disagree with this.

I don't know. Vucevic at his best on offense is like prime Dirk and Vucevic on his best on defense blows up pick and rolls and does a pretty good job job at rim protection. 

The problem is he never does both at the same time and hasn't done either more than 20 games total in a season. 

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Yes i am probably being biased by the fact that we never see "his best", I'll admit that.

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2 hours ago, Fultz4thewin said:

Your main premise is "the team as it's currently constructed is going nowhere" that's inherently a short term problem because the hope of this franchise and everything from a long term perspective is fultz and Isaac (and Bamba once he shows ability to be a starting player). Those are all guys on rookie contracts and a few years away from reliably carrying a team. 

So roster construction isn't all that important today because we're not sitting here thinking "we just need to add one piece to this team to become a contender". Our goals are entirely "get fultz and Isaac ready to carry us when it's time and build the best team around them as possible". 

 

Now there's two schools of thought here for how to accomplish this

1. Throw guys into the deep end and see if they'll sink or swim. Give them all the minutes they can handle and eliminate threats to those minutes. There's a lot of evidence lately that this method doesn't work and I think a lot of the flaws in Vucevic and fournier's games come from developing bad habits in losses. 

2. Give guys small roles and let them earn more on good teams over time. Make them face consequences of failure. Lot of good players today coming out of this philosophy whether intentionally or as a matter of circumstance. Lowry, George, Kawhi, siakam, Butler, etc. 

 

So back to the first point. I don't expect Fournier and Vucevic to be on this team in two years. They're just a means to an end. It doesn't matter if the team as currently constructed is going nowhere because the team as currently constructed is a short term entity. 

Also to add to this, my entire basis of trust with this front office is built on the idea that they went into last summer and Vucevic's agent came to them with multiple offers from other teams and basically said "Vucevic wants to stay here, he'll take a slight discount because he has a newborn and doesn't want to leave Orlando" and the front office used that as an indicator of future trade value because there was an actual market for Vucevic at his salary figure. So we're able to retain a tradable asset to keep us afloat with the fultz uncertainty and Bamba coming off injury. 

Everything about this front office suggests a well thought out, methodical, patient approach to every single thing they do so I think they've earned that trust. 

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NBA denied our request for a disabled player exception for Isaac.  Put on the tin foil hats boys.

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